Oil price dynamics amid a price war between OPEC and Russia

Over the past week, world oil quotations have experienced serious volatility. Last Friday, on March 6, OPEC and Russia were unable to agree to extend an agreement to limit oil production. Over the weekend, Saudi Arabia announced that it planned to increase its supply by 300,000 barrels per day, while reducing the official price for all customers. The situation was aggravated by a sharp decrease in fuel demand caused by restrictions on movement in China and northern Italy due to the coronavirus pandemic.

As a result, on Monday, March 9, immediately after the opening of markets, there was a massive collapse in prices. On Friday evening, according to Investing.com, May Brent futures were trading at $45.27 a barrel, and on Monday the price fell by 24.1% to $34.36 a barrel. The American WTI, in turn, fell in price by 24.6%, from $41.28 to $31.13 per barrel.

Overall, oil futures on the New York Stock Exchange fell  by 21% over the week. The last time such fluctuations were observed during the Persian Gulf War in 1991.

According to leading price agencies, an increase in oil demand, and respectively, an increase in prices, is possible no earlier than in the second half of the year. Hereto, the effect of coronavirus on the economy should weaken, and Russia and Saudi Arabia will find out who has a greater safety margin.

Tags: Gazprom, contracts, oil, hydrocarbon production, legislation, EU, USA, energy market, jet fuel, oil production, coronavirus, RF, foreign affairs, OPEC+, OPEC, negotiations, stocks, agreement, volumes, petroleum products, oil deliveries

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